Grand National 2008 - Tips, trends & analysis
Grand National 2008 - tips & analysis coming Soon......... Some of the analysis will only be available to subscribers to our FREE newsletter (Last year, we had the 33/1 winner of the national from 2 bets - see below). Subscribers get free tips all year round: For example, we recently gave tips on the vast majority of races at the 2008 Cheletnham festival. If you had bet Ł10 on every horse we tipped, you would have come out with a Ł120 pound profit at S.P (better prices were available earlier in the day). We expect the Grand National 2008 meeting to be just as profitable. If you want free access to our grand national 2008 analysis & weekly free tips, you can sign up below:
Below is a copy of our analysis of the 2007 Grand National. To view our 2007 PDF eBook showing the main horse racing trends for the national, click the link below.
Grand National 2008

Here is our 2007 analysis. (Our Grand National 2008 analysis will be along the same lines). Horses may fail on more than one of the horse racing trends below. Age The age trends are useless this year and do not remove any horses Weight No horse has carried 11-03 or more to victory in the last 10 years. This stat rules out the following horses: Hedgehunter Eurotrek LŽAmi Monkerhostin Thisthatandtother Billyvoddan Numbersixvalverde
Breeding French breds have a terrible record so we can rule out the following: LŽAmi Monkerhostin Royal Auclair Kelami Celtic Son Clan Royal Kandjar DŽAllier Liberthine Puntal Sonevafushi Le Duc Lou Du Moulin Mas
Official rating Horses rated 135 and under have a poor record. The following can be ruled out based on this stat: Jack High Sonevafushi Joes Edge Le Duc Risk Accessor Undeniable Dunbrody Millar Lou Du Moulin Mas
Horses rated 151+ also have a poor record: Hedgehunter Eurotrek LŽAmi Monkerhostin Thisthatandtother
Distance form The following have not won over 3m or more: Thisthatandtother Knowhere Livingstonebramble Liberthine Tikram Le Duc Risk Accessor
Recent form The following horses have won more than once in their last 6 races: Eurotrek Simon Kandjar DŽAllier Bothar Na Homer Wells The Outlier Mckelvey Naunton Brook
Hurdles run this season The horses below have not run over hurdles this season: Eurotrek Monkerhostin Thisthatandtother Billyvoddan Idle Talk Royal Auclair Knowhere Celtic Son Simon Ballycassidy Gallant Approach Kandjar DŽAllier Slim Pickings Zabenz Bewleys Berry Longshanks Bothar Na Graphic Approach Homer Wells Philson Run Puntal The Outlier Tikram Naunton Brook Sonevafushi Joes Edge Risk Accessor Undeniable Dunbrody Millar Summary This leaves us with a shortlist of 4 (Jack High just misses out by a point on official ratings). These are: Cloudy Bays Point Barrow Dun Doire Silver Birch
if we now look at current prices, Cloudy Bays can be ruled out (its 100-1 with bookmakers, 260-1 on betfair). Horses with an SP of over 40-1 have a poor record in the Grand National. Of the other 3, Silver birch fits the trends perfectly and the 33-1 currently available looks good each way value. (he was favourite for this race in 2004 before getting injured). His trainer has been quite bullish this week "With a clear round I'm sure he'll run a big race, he seems in good nick." Point barrow just falls outside the perfect official ratings band (135-140) with a rating of 144. However, after winning last years Irish grand national & this years Pierse Chase he would be a worthy favourite for the race. On Wednesday, his trainer said "I'd say that if he can avoid trouble, he'll definitely be in the first four". Dun Doire was 7th to Point Barrow in last seasons Irish National but now has a 15lb pull in the weights in his favour. The good ground is a worry though - this has caused his price to drift and his trainer has also expressed his concerns. We hope to see Point Barrow coming home in front with Silver Birch holding on for a place. Reccomendations To Win - Point Barrow (1 pt win at 10-1 - Paddy power) Each Way - Silver Birch (0.5 points win & 0.5 place - betfair) _________________________________________________________________ Result: Point Barrow fell at the first fence, Silver Birch went on to win the Grand National. 40-1 was available on the morning of the race. This shows the value of using horse racing trends in big races. Our newsletter gives out the main horse racing trends for the weeks big race (along with horse racing tips, ideas and new angles to help make your betting pay. Check out our newsletter page by clicking on on the link on the left or sign up using the opt in form below (and receive your FREE Grand National 2008 tips & analysis). _________________________________________________________________

|